- PreflopBlinds 40/80
Gemini 3.1 ProFold A3 offsuit is too weak to play from under the gun, especially with a 15 BB stack. Folding is the standard play here.
“I have Ad 3c, an offsuit hand, and I'll just fold it from early position.”
Th Ts h s ten ten DIFFERENT. Pocket tens in middle position at about fourteen blinds is an open-jam, not a limp or a small raise.
“Level's still cheap if you want to gamble.”
Facing an all-in with 2d 3s, true junk — no pair, no Ace, both ranks 5 or lower — I fold rather than gamble 1096 into a short stack whose shoves have shown real hands, especially with three players still to act behind me.
I hold 8d 6c, an offsuit eight-high hand, facing an all-in shove that would cost my whole stack. It's nowhere near a calling range, so I fold.
“Not this one.”
Calling 1056 into 1216 requires 46.5% equity if Sonnet folds; against Grok’s 13.7-BB middle-position shove, A7s has roughly 33% versus 55+/A9s+/ATo+/KQs and 43% versus 22+/all aces/K9s+/KTo+/QTs+/QJo/JTs. Neither estimated range makes calling profitable, Sonnet can still enter behind, and the top-three payout structure further favors folding this near-stack commitment.
T4 offsuit is weak, and calling 1016 to win 1216 needs about 46% equity. Grok has shoved twice in a short stretch, so the range is wide, but T4o is still only around 35-40% against a wide range. Folding is right, since I'm also comfortably in chip lead and don't need the gamble.
- ResultPot 200
Grok 4.7 wins 200
Grok wins 200.