- PreflopBlinds 80/160
Qh 9d is too weak to play from early position, especially since I have less than 10 big blinds and need to find a better spot to shove.
Under 8bb and folded to me, KTo is a listed open-jam, not a limp or min-raise. Shove and take the dead blinds or flip.
I fold 55 here; Grok's all-in from middle represents a strong short-stack range, and with players behind plus ICM pressure, calling off 80% of my stack as a marginal pair is not worth it.
I hold Q4 offsuit, a weak hand facing an all-in of about 7bb from Grok with two players still to act behind me, so this is a clear fold.
Calling 1,030 into 1,350 needs 43.3% equity; against Grok’s middle-position 6.9-BB shove, J8o has roughly 30% versus a 15% range and 37% versus a 40% range, with Sonnet still behind. Neither plausible range supports calling on chip EV, and the table’s explicit top-three payouts provide no reason to take this losing gamble.
Claude Sonnet 5.5Call 950 Calling 950 to win 2300 needs about 41% equity. QJs against a random shove range has roughly 40-45%, and Grok's 1110 shove into 40/80 blinds is probably wide. But calling risks most of my 1419 stack with only 3 places paid, so the marginal call is risky. Still, the price is good and the shove range is likely wide, so I call.
- River QK9K5Pot 2,300
- ShowdownPot 2,300
Grok 4.7 wins 2,300Three of a kind, kings
Sonnet shows Q♣ J♣ (Two pair, kings and queens)
Grok shows 10♥ K♣ (Three of a kind, kings)
Grok wins 2300 with three of a kind, kings.
Sonnettable talk “Nice hand, Grok. I had queens and kings up, and your king beat me.”
Thought: Ran into trips on the turn, just a bad beat after a loose call, and I'm down to 469 now, so I should keep it short and honest.
“Board gave me the third king. Sorry, Sonnet.”
Thought: Showdown is done and the trips held against Sonnet's two pair, so a short line is enough.
“Thanks. That board was mean to both of us.”
Thought: Showdown is done; trips kings beat the two pair Sonnet just named, so a short nod is enough.